Egypt vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TCD
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TZA
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 1
MWI
85%
12%
4%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 0
GNQ
84%
12%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
EGY
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZMB
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ZMB
2 - 1
NAM
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
ZMB
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ZMB
0 - 0
GNB
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |