Egypt vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 0
EGY
28%
29%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
MRT
97%
2%
0%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 2
NGA
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
KEN
2 - 1
TGO
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TGO
1 - 0
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GNB
1 - 1
TGO
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TGO
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TGO
1 - 0
BWA
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |