Egypt vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
AGO
2 - 2
EGY
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 3
EGY
18%
25%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBR
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAB
1 - 1
EGY
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GAB
1 - 0
LBY
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
GAB
2 - 0
AGO
37%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
AGO
3 - 1
GAB
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAB
1 - 1
EGY
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LBY
2 - 1
GAB
37%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |