African WC Qual. Group A Round 3

Egypt vs Burkina Faso analysis

Egypt Burkina Faso
85 ELO 74
-1.8% Tilt 0.8%
214º General ELO ranking 1109º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.9%
Egypt
17.9%
Draw
9.2%
Burkina Faso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Egypt
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
Burkina Faso
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
-4%
-8%
Burkina Faso

ELO progression

Egypt
Burkina Faso
Djibouti
Ethiopia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2024
EGY
Egypt
2 - 4
Croatia
CRO
25%
25%
50%
86 91 5 0
22 Mar. 2024
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
76%
16%
8%
86 68 18 0
28 Jan. 2024
EGY
Egypt
1 - 1
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
67%
19%
14%
86 73 13 0
22 Jan. 2024
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 2
Egypt
EGY
14%
20%
66%
86 70 16 0
18 Jan. 2024
EGY
Egypt
2 - 2
Ghana
GHA
62%
22%
17%
86 81 5 0

Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2024
NIG
Niger
1 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
22%
26%
52%
75 56 19 0
22 Mar. 2024
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 2
Libya
LBY
62%
22%
16%
75 66 9 0
30 Jan. 2024
MLI
Mali
2 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
56%
24%
21%
76 81 5 -1
23 Jan. 2024
ANG
Angola
2 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
35%
28%
38%
76 73 3 0
20 Jan. 2024
ALG
Algeria
2 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
73%
17%
10%
76 86 10 0