Ecuador vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 1
TTO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 1
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
ECU
0 - 2
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
JAM
72%
18%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
VEN
2 - 2
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |