Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 2
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
CHL
3 - 0
ECU
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ECU
2 - 0
PAN
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ECU
2 - 0
PAN
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ECU
1 - 0
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GTM
1 - 2
PRY
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
PRY
1 - 1
KOR
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
PRY
1 - 1
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
PRY
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |