Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1969 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
87%
9%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1969 |
ECU
0 - 2
URU
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
ECU
4 - 1
COL
56%
20%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 1966 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
DDR
0 - 1
CHI
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |