Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BRA
9 - 2
ECU
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHL
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URY
6 - 0
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHL
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHL
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |