Denmark vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 1
DNK
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MLT
1 - 2
DNK
13%
22%
64%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 2
DNK
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
DNK
0 - 4
ARM
83%
13%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DNK
2 - 1
GEO
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
CZE
59%
24%
17%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
BGR
71%
19%
10%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
40%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
URY
2 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |