Croatia vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LVA
0 - 3
HRV
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SVK
1 - 1
HRV
28%
26%
46%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
HRV
13%
23%
64%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
HRV
2 - 0
WLS
69%
20%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
AUT
0 - 1
HRV
31%
26%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
GRC
1 - 1
GEO
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SRB
0 - 1
GRC
39%
28%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
ARG
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
2 - 1
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 0
GRC
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |