Croatia vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 2
HRV
58%
21%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
HRV
1 - 1
DEU
37%
26%
38%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
HRV
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 0
HRV
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
HRV
2 - 2
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
FRA
3 - 2
SVN
95%
5%
1%
|
99 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
SCT
0 - 2
FRA
17%
27%
56%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
FRA
1 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 0
HRV
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 2
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |