Croatia vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1994 |
HUN
2 - 2
HRV
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
SVK
4 - 1
HRV
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ESP
0 - 2
HRV
92%
7%
2%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1993 |
HRV
3 - 1
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
HRV
3 - 0
MEX
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1994 |
ISR
0 - 3
ARG
21%
27%
52%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
ECU
1 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
53%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
CHL
3 - 3
ARG
33%
28%
39%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
ARG
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |