Croatia vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
HRV
4 - 0
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
HRV
0 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
HRV
2 - 2
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
HRV
55%
25%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
HRV
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 1
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AND
0 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 93 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ISL
3 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
AND
0 - 2
ARM
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
AND
2 - 0
ALB
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |