CAF Qualifying Grupo K. Jor. 3

Ivory Coast vs Madagascar analysis

Ivory Coast Madagascar
84 ELO 61
-2.3% Tilt -5.6%
199º General ELO ranking 1699º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.1%
Ivory Coast
16.5%
Draw
6.4%
Madagascar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
Ivory Coast
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.4%
Win probability
Madagascar
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ivory Coast
-3%
+30%
Madagascar

ELO progression

Ivory Coast
Madagascar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2020
JPN
Japan
1 - 0
Ivory Coast
CIV
63%
21%
16%
85 87 2 0
08 Oct. 2020
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Ivory Coast
CIV
86%
10%
4%
85 93 8 0
19 Nov. 2019
ETH
Ethiopia
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
CIV
15%
23%
63%
85 57 28 0
16 Nov. 2019
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Niger
NER
78%
16%
6%
85 60 25 0
20 Oct. 2019
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Niger
NER
78%
16%
6%
85 60 25 0

Matches

Madagascar
Madagascar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2020
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
29%
28%
44%
62 74 12 0
19 Nov. 2019
NER
Niger
2 - 6
Madagascar
MDG
39%
26%
35%
61 60 1 +1
16 Nov. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 0
Ethiopia
ETH
42%
25%
33%
60 58 2 +1
19 Oct. 2019
NAM
Namibia
2 - 0
Madagascar
MDG
42%
26%
32%
61 64 3 -1
22 Sep. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
34%
26%
40%
60 65 5 +1
X