Ivory Coast vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
SEN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1987 |
EGY
2 - 1
CIV
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
MWI
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1987 |
ZMB
2 - 0
CIV
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
GHA
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1987 |
KEN
2 - 1
MDG
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1987 |
MDG
3 - 0
TUN
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
CMR
3 - 0
MDG
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
MUS
2 - 1
MDG
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
MDG
2 - 1
MUS
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |