Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
ALG
3 - 0
COL
20%
26%
54%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ECU
4 - 2
URU
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
62%
21%
18%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
HUN
1 - 2
URU
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |