Colombia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 0
COL
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
USA
2 - 1
NZL
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
SCT
1 - 1
NZL
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
NZL
39%
25%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |