Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1956 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |