Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 0
URY
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 0
MEX
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
6 - 1
PAN
51%
19%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
CHL
5 - 2
USA
55%
19%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
4 - 2
URY
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAN
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
URY
2 - 1
BRA
39%
22%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |