Chile vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
CHL
4 - 0
PER
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
CHL
2 - 1
MEX
41%
28%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CHL
2 - 0
CAN
70%
19%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
SCT
1 - 0
AUS
58%
26%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
0 - 0
SWE
23%
27%
49%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
0 - 2
SWE
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
3 - 0
JPN
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
1 - 4
JPN
56%
26%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |