Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
URY
3 - 0
CHL
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 1
COL
57%
24%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PER
3 - 4
CHL
24%
27%
49%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 0
BRA
20%
22%
59%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
ARG
33%
26%
40%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
45%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRY
0 - 0
ARG
17%
23%
59%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 2
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |