Chad vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
TAN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
94%
5%
1%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NGA
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
MLI
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 0
NGA
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 1
EGY
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
NGA
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |