Cameroon vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1970 |
CMR
3 - 2
CIV
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1969 |
COD
1 - 2
CMR
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1969 |
SEN
3 - 2
CMR
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
CMR
4 - 2
TUN
58%
19%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
CMR
1 - 3
COD
59%
19%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1970 |
SDN
3 - 0
ETH
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1969 |
UGA
4 - 0
ETH
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CIV
1 - 0
ETH
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
2 - 3
COD
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
3 - 1
DZA
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |