Burundi vs Yibuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
1 - 2
TZA
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
ETH
1 - 0
BDI
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
SOM
0 - 3
BDI
57%
21%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
DJI
2 - 4
BDI
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
2 - 1
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
10 - 1
DJI
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
7 - 0
DJI
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ETH
4 - 2
DJI
74%
18%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
DJI
2 - 4
BDI
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
DJI
0 - 0
SOM
61%
19%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |