AFCON Qualifying Group E Round 4

Burundi vs Mauritania analysis

Burundi Mauritania
59 ELO 63
-11.5% Tilt -8.3%
3774º General ELO ranking 2268º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.4%
Burundi
26.6%
Draw
42%
Mauritania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
Burundi
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42%
Win probability
Mauritania
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burundi
-4%
+5%
Mauritania

ELO progression

Burundi
Mauritania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burundi
Burundi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2020
MTN
Mauritania
1 - 1
Burundi
BDI
52%
24%
23%
58 64 6 0
11 Oct. 2020
TAN
Tanzania
0 - 1
Burundi
BDI
52%
24%
24%
57 62 5 +1
19 Nov. 2019
BDI
Burundi
0 - 3
Morocco
MAR
14%
25%
60%
57 87 30 0
13 Nov. 2019
CTA
Central African Republic
2 - 0
Burundi
BDI
11%
17%
72%
58 35 23 -1
19 Oct. 2019
UGA
Uganda
3 - 0
Burundi
BDI
58%
24%
17%
58 72 14 0

Matches

Mauritania
Mauritania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2020
MTN
Mauritania
1 - 1
Burundi
BDI
52%
24%
23%
64 58 6 0
09 Oct. 2020
MTN
Mauritania
2 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
43%
26%
32%
63 62 1 +1
19 Nov. 2019
MTN
Mauritania
2 - 0
Central African Republic
CTA
73%
17%
10%
63 37 26 0
15 Nov. 2019
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Mauritania
MTN
75%
17%
8%
63 87 24 0
20 Oct. 2019
MLI
Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania
MTN
69%
20%
11%
63 76 13 0