Burundi vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BDI
3 - 1
MRT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MRT
1 - 1
BDI
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TZA
0 - 1
BDI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
MAR
14%
25%
60%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 0
BDI
11%
17%
72%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CAF
0 - 2
MAR
6%
18%
75%
|
33 | 86 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAF
92%
7%
1%
|
34 | 86 | 52 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MRT
2 - 0
CAF
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 0
BDI
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
COD
4 - 1
CAF
90%
8%
2%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | 0 |