Burundi vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MLI
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 1
BDI
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ETH
1 - 1
BDI
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 0
BDI
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BDI
0 - 0
SDN
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MLI
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
4%
10%
86%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
MLI
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
CIV
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |