Bulgaria vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
IDN
0 - 4
BGR
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 0
SUN
41%
28%
31%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
4 - 0
DEN
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |