Bulgaria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BLR
2 - 1
BGR
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BGR
2 - 0
NED
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BGR
1 - 0
BLR
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
SWE
3 - 0
BGR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
SWE
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SWE
4 - 0
BLR
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SWE
6 - 0
SVK
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |