Bulgaria vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BGR
0 - 1
CRO
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AZE
1 - 2
BGR
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 1
CAN
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MLT
0 - 1
ITA
8%
20%
72%
|
50 | 92 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MLT
0 - 3
NOR
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
MLT
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 91 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 0
MLT
82%
14%
4%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GIB
1 - 0
MLT
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |