Bulgaria vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
40%
27%
33%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BGR
2 - 0
CYP
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 1
BGR
52%
27%
22%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SUI
1 - 1
BGR
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SRB
6 - 1
BGR
25%
29%
46%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
LVA
2 - 0
LUX
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 4
LVA
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
LVA
0 - 0
ARM
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
LVA
1 - 1
ISR
23%
26%
52%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |