Bulgaria vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
JOR
0 - 2
BGR
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
JAM
0 - 0
BGR
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 2
BGR
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
IND
0 - 3
ISL
16%
26%
59%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
POL
1 - 0
ISL
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ISL
1 - 0
NIR
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
CZE
4 - 0
ISL
90%
8%
3%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ISL
1 - 2
DEN
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |