Bulgaria vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BGR
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NIR
5 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BGR
0 - 0
LUX
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
NIR
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BLR
0 - 0
BGR
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
NIR
2 - 0
BLR
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BLR
0 - 0
NIR
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BLR
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BLR
0 - 0
BGR
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |