Bulgaria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1942 |
HRV
6 - 0
BGR
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BGR
1 - 1
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEU
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1940 |
BGR
1 - 4
SVK
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BGR
1 - 2
DEU
38%
22%
41%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
HUN
3 - 5
DEU
56%
19%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
DEU
1 - 2
CHE
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1942 |
HRV
0 - 2
DEU
45%
22%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
DEU
4 - 0
SVK
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |