Bulgaria vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
DDR
0 - 0
BGR
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 0
BGR
76%
17%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
GRC
2 - 1
BGR
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BGR
3 - 3
GRC
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
BRD
0 - 0
ESP
95%
4%
1%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
ENG
2 - 0
BRD
54%
24%
22%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MLT
0 - 1
BRD
3%
17%
81%
|
92 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
GRC
2 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
CHE
1 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |