EC Qualifying Grupo A Jor. 4

Bulgaria vs Kosovo analysis

Bulgaria Kosovo
83 ELO 71
-5% Tilt -2.5%
627º General ELO ranking 1075º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80%
Bulgaria
13.5%
Draw
6.6%
Kosovo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
Bulgaria
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
Kosovo
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bulgaria
-13%
+1%
Kosovo

ELO progression

Bulgaria
Kosovo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2019
CZE
Czech Republic
2 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
59%
23%
19%
83 86 3 0
25 Mar. 2019
XXK
Kosovo
1 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
27%
24%
49%
83 69 14 0
22 Mar. 2019
BGR
Bulgaria
1 - 1
Montenegro
MNE
79%
14%
7%
83 72 11 0
19 Nov. 2018
BGR
Bulgaria
1 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
59%
23%
18%
84 78 6 -1
16 Nov. 2018
CYP
Cyprus
1 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
24%
25%
51%
84 66 18 0

Matches

Kosovo
Kosovo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2019
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 1
Kosovo
XXK
55%
22%
23%
70 72 2 0
25 Mar. 2019
XXK
Kosovo
1 - 1
Bulgaria
BGR
27%
24%
49%
69 83 14 +1
21 Mar. 2019
XXK
Kosovo
2 - 2
Denmark
DNK
20%
24%
57%
69 88 19 0
20 Nov. 2018
XXK
Kosovo
4 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
58%
22%
20%
68 63 5 +1
17 Nov. 2018
MLT
Malta
0 - 5
Kosovo
XXK
6%
12%
82%
68 46 22 0
X