Brazil vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GIN
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
HRV
1 - 1
BRA
10%
17%
73%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
KOR
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CMR
1 - 0
BRA
2%
9%
89%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
SEN
18%
28%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
SEN
14%
25%
62%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZA
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |