Brazil vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PER
2 - 4
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
91%
8%
2%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
KOR
79%
15%
6%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
VEN
0 - 1
PRY
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 4
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 0
TTO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |