Brazil vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CMR
1 - 0
BRA
2%
9%
89%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHE
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
SRB
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
TUN
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 0
GHA
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 1
PRT
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 3
GHA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
URY
0 - 0
KOR
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
CMR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |