Brazil vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
URY
75%
16%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 4
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
74%
16%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
JPN
79%
14%
7%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
0 - 3
ESP
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
PYF
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 45 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
URY
76%
15%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
5%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |