Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 2
BRA
6%
15%
80%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |