Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
SEN
85%
11%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
DEU
2 - 2
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ARG
4 - 0
MEX
57%
23%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARG
38%
26%
37%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |