Bolivia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
91%
8%
2%
|
74 | 97 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 1
HTI
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ECU
4 - 2
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
TTO
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |