Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
BFA
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 2
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
BEL
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 1
EST
93%
6%
1%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
43%
23%
35%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NED
4 - 2
DEN
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NED
2 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MNE
2 - 2
NED
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
NED
6 - 0
GIB
96%
3%
0%
|
92 | 44 | 48 | 0 |