Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
64%
16%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SUI
2 - 2
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
45%
21%
34%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 2
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |