Belgium vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BEL
1 - 1
MKD
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
DEN
3 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
BEL
2 - 0
ARM
90%
7%
2%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1994 |
GER
3 - 2
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1994 |
BEL
0 - 1
KSA
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ESP
3 - 0
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
MKD
0 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
71%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
CYP
1 - 2
ESP
14%
26%
60%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
52%
26%
22%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |