Belgium vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
QAT
0 - 2
BEL
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 0
HUN
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
BEL
16%
24%
59%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
TUR
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 1
BEL
17%
25%
58%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
HRV
5 - 0
LIE
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 24 | 71 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
KAZ
1 - 2
HRV
14%
22%
65%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
HRV
3 - 2
QAT
76%
17%
7%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 1
HRV
65%
21%
14%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HRV
1 - 0
BLR
74%
18%
8%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |