Belgium vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
BGR
1 - 3
BEL
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
TUR
2 - 0
BEL
15%
22%
62%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
33%
27%
41%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
DNK
2 - 2
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
SVK
1 - 1
HRV
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
HRV
0 - 2
FRA
18%
24%
59%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 2
HRV
58%
21%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
HRV
1 - 1
DEU
37%
26%
38%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
HRV
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |