Austria vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 3
AUT
12%
19%
70%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ROU
0 - 1
AUT
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
0 - 1
AUT
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AUT
2 - 1
GRC
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
AUT
2 - 3
ROU
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 2
SVK
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
NIR
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
0 - 1
AUT
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 1
NIR
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 5
NOR
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |