EC Qualifying Group F Round 7

Austria vs Belgium analysis

Austria Belgium
86 ELO 93
5.8% Tilt 6.6%
120º General ELO ranking 60º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.6%
Austria
20.8%
Draw
62.6%
Belgium

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
Austria
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.6%
Win probability
Belgium
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Austria
+16%
-6%
Belgium

ELO progression

Austria
Belgium
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Austria
Austria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2023
SWE
Sweden
1 - 3
Austria
AUT
52%
24%
25%
86 88 2 0
07 Sep. 2023
AUT
Austria
1 - 1
Moldova
MDA
85%
11%
4%
86 52 34 0
20 Jun. 2023
AUT
Austria
2 - 0
Sweden
SWE
37%
25%
38%
86 88 2 0
17 Jun. 2023
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Austria
AUT
80%
13%
7%
86 93 7 0
27 Mar. 2023
AUT
Austria
2 - 1
Estonia
EST
81%
13%
5%
86 67 19 0

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2023
BEL
Belgium
5 - 0
Estonia
EST
93%
6%
1%
93 66 27 0
09 Sep. 2023
AZE
Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Belgium
BEL
3%
12%
86%
93 63 30 0
20 Jun. 2023
EST
Estonia
0 - 3
Belgium
BEL
4%
13%
84%
93 67 26 0
17 Jun. 2023
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Austria
AUT
80%
13%
7%
93 86 7 0
28 Mar. 2023
GER
Germany
2 - 3
Belgium
BEL
52%
21%
27%
93 93 0 0